Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 10.776138 12.315277 14.005417 16.000581 18.293492 20.848503 23.914918
2025-12-07 8.745760 10.768966 13.167324 16.225836 20.031295 24.621724 30.596779
2025-12-14 7.460065 9.680843 12.459375 16.202302 21.130674 27.423348 36.107988
2025-12-21 6.496043 8.799256 11.811089 16.055331 21.911274 29.748940 41.106354
2025-12-28 6.002148 8.442116 11.759130 16.623083 23.617671 33.379346 48.153602
2026-01-04 5.549648 8.071871 11.621595 17.015461 25.065777 36.732236 55.097340
2026-01-11 5.217536 7.825577 11.614617 17.563891 26.752869 40.541819 63.054820
2026-01-18 4.685784 7.223873 11.017781 17.152627 26.925341 42.058994 67.597550
2026-01-25 4.261015 6.739776 10.544930 16.870025 27.242234 43.787056 72.591643
2026-02-01 3.895758 6.312098 10.115250 16.603221 27.537395 45.473576 77.637169
2026-02-08 3.573350 5.922492 9.708038 16.326386 27.772932 47.055056 82.618579
2026-02-15 3.288526 5.568778 9.326351 16.050796 27.971214 48.566980 87.589068
2026-02-22 3.200123 5.542442 9.493835 16.740610 29.924955 53.321817 98.930466
2026-03-01 3.043996 5.384920 9.422133 16.999646 31.128554 56.845108 108.349242
2026-03-08 2.857638 5.157099 9.206202 16.973959 31.798120 59.435995 116.227947
2026-03-15 2.669957 4.910777 8.935652 16.819735 32.204023 61.553749 123.368838
2026-03-22 2.603500 4.882116 9.058505 17.415685 34.098338 66.684774 137.078062
2026-03-29 2.516395 4.806775 9.086660 17.827576 35.661070 71.293881 150.168773
2026-04-05 2.455065 4.775486 9.194666 18.403312 37.599641 76.823788 165.770479
2026-04-12 2.279521 4.506386 8.819946 17.971568 37.420242 77.966221 171.928377
2026-04-19 2.133631 4.285404 8.523413 17.674906 37.495410 79.642064 179.428700
2026-04-26 2.001129 4.081667 8.246165 17.394836 37.578736 81.335041 187.126551
2026-05-03 1.877819 3.887808 7.974724 17.104246 37.611424 82.913372 194.706348